Find out how the National Energy and Climate Plans will be implemented
See pathways to implement the Paris Agreement, our scenarios developed with the NGO community
Explore the scenarios in the data visualisation platform
Scenarios are a prerequisite for any study analysing the future of the European energy system. They describe possible European energy futures up to 2050. Scenarios are not forecasts: they merely set out a range of possible futures used to test future electricity and gas infrastructure needs and projects.
Regulation (EU) 347/2013 requires that ENTSO-E and its gas counterpart ENTSOG use scenarios for their respective Ten-Year Network Development Plans (TYNDPs) 2020. ENTSO-E also uses the scenarios to assess electricity security of supply for the ENTSO-E Mid-Term Adequacy Forecast (MAF).
Scenarios for the TYNDP 2018 and 2020 were jointly developed with ENTSOG.
Publication of ENTSOs final 2020 Scenario Storylines
Publication of ENTSOs draft 2020 scenarios
Workshop with stakeholders to present ENTSOs draft 2020 scenarios
Public consultation on ENTSOs draft 2020 scenarios
November > January
This report describes the three draft 2020 scenarios developed by ENTSO-E and ENTSOG. National Trends is the central policy scenario, designed to reflect the most recent EU member state National Energy and Climate Plans. ENTSO-E and ENTSOG have also created two scenarios in line with the COP 21 targets (Distributed Energy and Global Ambition) with the objective to understand the impact on infrastructure needs against different pathways reducing EU-28 emissions to net-zero by 2050.
The development of the scenarios builds on storylines and a methodology to translate the storylines into parameters and eventually figures. The TYNDP 2020 Scenario Methodology Report provides full transparency on how the scenarios are developed and how the development of different demand technologies, generation and conversion capacities, renewable shares and all other parameters are considered.
Deep dive into the data behind Europe’s energy futures. ENTSO-E and ENTSOG Scenarios 2020 provide an extensive data set resource. Stakeholders are welcome to use the scenario data sets for their own studies.
Excel file with the 2020 scenarios data. ENTSO-E and ENTSOG invite stakeholders to use the scenario data sets for their own studies. Whereas Distributed Energy and Global Ambition have been built as full-energy scenarios until 2050, National Trends is based on electricity and gas related data from the NECP and developed until 2040. Data is provided in EU-28 terms unless otherwise stated. The technical datasets submitted to the TYDNP process and available to download extend beyond the EU-28 countries, including countries such as Norway, Switzerland and Turkey.
This report details the three scenario storylines developed in consultation with stakeholders.